New hypothetical Calif. congressional maps point to messy battles for Valley reps

The latest visualizations, hypotheticals to help citizen commissioners draw draft and final maps, put Reps. Devin Nunes, David Valadao, and Kevin McCarthy in unique, if difficult circumstances.

The California Redistricting Commission released its latest visualizations for new Congressional and legislative maps, and the districts would be quite a change from the current look. 

While the final maps will not be approved until late December, the visualizations show a hypothetical scenario for the independent commission based on its preliminary direction it gave line drawers. 

Commissioners will review the visualizations and have an opportunity to provide further feedback and direction this weekend as the process continues. 

Here’s a look at how the various Central Valley districts are presented in the visualization: 

Rep. Josh Harder (D–Turlock) – VCD_STANISLAUS_1102

This visualization would keep Harder’s district relatively the same as it is centered around Modesto and Stanislaus County.

However, the district would gain more of San Joaquin County, heading north of Lathrop and Manteca and retain the hotly-contested city of Tracy, which Valley commenters had eschewed as a “Bay Area bedroom community.”

Rep. Jim Costa (D–Fresno) VCD_MERCEDFRESNO_1102

Costa’s Merced-Madera-Fresno district would remain intact in this visualization.

Fresno would be split different than it currently is as Costa would pick up the Sunnyside region of southeast Fresno.

This map, though, would displease Merced County’s lawmakers.

The Merced County Board of Supervisors unanimously approved a resolution Tuesday calling on the commission to lump the county in with Stanislaus County to the north, instead of Fresno County to the south.

Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R–Bakersfield) VCD_MADERAKERN_1102

McCarthy, the House Minority Leader, would see his district maintain its base in Kern County while expanding further north to encompass north Fresno and Clovis.

Rep. David Valadao (R–Hanford) VCD_FRESNOTULARE_1102

This visualization would split Kings County, grouping Valadao’s home of Hanford in with Visalia and parts of southeast and central Fresno.

Valadao would lose the section of District 21 that currently stretches down into Kern County and wraps around in parts of Bakersfield.

Rep. Devin Nunes (R–Tulare) VCD_KINGSTULARE_1102

Nunes would see his district shifted to the west, picking up parts of Kings, Tulare and Kern Counties.

Tulare and Bakersfield would be the two main metropolitan areas in this visualization.


This visualization would create an opening for a new senator. Currently, Susan Eggman (DStockton) represents Stockton and part of northern Modesto.

The new district would center around Modesto and Merced.


Sen. Anna Caballero (DSalinas) would pick up southern Fresno in her district, which would otherwise remain relatively the same.


The district would force out either Sen. Melissa Hurtado (DSanger) or Shannon Grove (R-Bakersfield).

For Hurtado, the district loses critical strongholds in the City of Fresno, but it would pick up the City of Tulare and sneak into a large part of Bakersfield.

Sen. Andreas Borgeas (R-Fresno) – VSD_MADERAKERN_1102

Sen. Andreas Borgeas (R-Fresno) sees his district lose hefty swaths of Sierra Nevada mountain ranges in Inyo County.

It would combine north Fresno, Clovis, Visalia and parts of Bakersfield into one district.

Asm. Carlos Villapudua (D–Stockton) – VAD_STOCKTON_1102

This visualization would keep Villapudua’s district relatively the same to its current shape.

Stockton and Tracy would remain as the main two cities.

Asm. Heath Flora (R–Ripon) – VAD_STANISLAUS-1102

Flora’s district would retain Manteca and Ripon but push further south through Modesto to the border of Ceres while keeping Turlock as well.

Asm. Adam Gray (D–Merced) – VAD_MERCED_1102

This visualization would see Gray’s district lose much of Modesto, but it would stay centered on Merced and reach down to also grab Madera.

Asm. Jim Patterson (RFresno)VAD_EASTFRESNO_1102

Patterson’s district would remain virtually the same as it encompasses north Fresno and Clovis.

Asm. Joaquin Arambula (D–Fresno) – VAD_WFRESNO_1102

Just like Patterson, Arambula would retain his district in near identical fashion.

The main difference would be that this map would give him all of Fresno west of Highway 99 as well as Dos Palos.


Currently Rudy Salas (DBakersfield) represents the parts of Kings County that is represented here, but since Bakersfield is not part of this visualization, that would open the door for a new assembly member.

Asm. Rudy Salas (DBakersfield) VAD_WBAKERSFIELD_1102

As previously noted, Salas represents Bakersfield, and his district covers much of Kern County that is noted in this visualization.

However, Salas will not run for reelection, instead choosing to challenge Valadao for Congress.

Assembly VAD_TULARE-KERN_1102

Just like the Senate district that combines large parts of Tulare and Kern Counties would knock off one Senator, this visualization would do the same in the Assembly.

Asms. Devon Mathis (RVisalia) and Vince Fong (RBakersfield) would both be covered in this district that stretches from Visalia in the north, heads down to northeast Kern County and wraps around to grab northwest Bakersfield.

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