Dollar sinks as yen surges on intervention speculation 

Global currency markets respond to Japanese officials’ hints at intervention, looming U.S. government shutdown and Federal Reserve uncertainties.

The U.S. dollar fell sharply against major currencies, while the Japanese yen jumped to a two-month high amid speculation of possible joint currency intervention by the U.S. and Japan.

Investors scaled back dollar holdings ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting and uncertainty over the announcement of a new Fed chair by the Trump administration.

The big picture: Fears of another U.S. government shutdown also pressured the dollar, with a funding deadline looming on January 30.

  • The dollar slid 1% to 154.15 yen, marking a nearly 3% drop over two sessions – the steepest decline since April 2025.
  • Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said her government would take “necessary steps” against speculative moves, increasing expectations of official action.
  • On Friday, the New York Federal Reserve’s rate checks with dealers suggested a precursor to intervention, fueling a rush to exit short yen positions.

Go deeper: The yen is under pressure due to Japan’s extensive government debt and rising market interest rates; PM Takaichi countered concerns by promising tax cuts ahead of a February 8 snap election.

  • Despite a spike in the yen’s rate on Friday, Bank of Japan data indicated no official Japanese intervention at that time.
  • The dollar’s weakness boosted the euro, British pound, and Australian dollar to multi-month highs.
  • The euro rose 0.4% to $1.18585, sterling climbed 0.3% to $1.3691, and the Australian dollar advanced 0.5% to $0.6931.

What we’re watching: President Trump is expected to soon announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve chair, with Rick Rieder the betting favorite.

  • The Federal Reserve is set to decide interest rates on Wednesday, with no immediate changes expected but hints at future rate cuts likely.
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