New internal poll: Bredefeld boasts larger lead over Brandau in Fresno Co. Supervisor race

After an eye-popping fundraising haul, the Fresno Councilman is pointing to fresh polling showing an ever-growing lead against Fresno County Supervisor Steve Brandau.

New poll results place Fresno City Councilman Garry Bredefeld well in the lead against Fresno County Supervisor Steve Brandau for the 2nd District seat on the Board of Supervisors. 

The new results show an increase in Bredefeld’s performance from a poll conducted by his own campaign earlier this year


Driving the news: The poll was conducted by Signal Research and interviewed 300 likely voters by phone in the 2nd district. 

  • Signal Research says the survey has a margin of error of +/-5.7 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent. 

The big picture: Bredefeld leads Brandau in the poll by 23 points with a 37 percent to 14 percent advantage. His last poll placed him up by 12 points in February. 

  • Republican voters, who are estimated by pollster Chris Baker to make up one of every two likely voters in District 2, are far more likely to support Bredefeld. The poll has Bredefeld’s support from Republican voters at 54 percent, while Brandau’s number sits at eight percent. 
  • Bredefeld reported having strong name identification and favorability, with 44 percent of those polled having a favorable opinion of him, compared to 19 percent who were unfavorable. Brandau polled at 22 percent favorability compared to 16 percent unfavorable. 
  • The Fresno City Councilman also boasts favorability from Republican and conservative voters, with 56 percent from Republicans and 59 percent from conservatives. Brandau came in at 28 percent and 26 percent, respectively. 
  • The poll arrives after Bredefeld announced his campaign war chest ballooned to $479,731.68, backed by $192,069 in new contributions from donors since announcing his challenge to Brandau.

What they’re saying: “With a double-digit lead on the ballot that has only grown over the last six months, an even bigger lead amongst Republican voters, and a substantial fundraising advantage, it’s clear that Bredefeld has positioned himself as the overwhelming favorite to win the March primary,” Signal Research’s Baker wrote in his poll analysis.

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