Home sales hit lowest level in over two years

Falling inventory and higher prices push home sales down 8.4%, with supply lagging despite improved affordability and lower mortgage rates.
Home For Sale Real Estate Sign in Front of New House.

U.S. existing home sales dropped 8.4% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.91 million units, the lowest since December 2023.

Sales declined more than expected; economists had projected a rate of 4.18 million units.

The big picture: The decrease reflects contracts signed in November and December, not impacted by January’s winter storms.

  • Home sales fell 4.4% compared to last year.
  • The NAR’s housing affordability index rose to 116.5 in January, the highest since March 2022.
  • Mortgage rates have declined as the FHFA started buying bonds from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but progress has stalled amid rising Treasury yields and inflation concerns.
  • Inventory of existing homes fell 0.8% from December, to 1.22 million units; supply is up 3.4% from last year.

Go deeper: At the current sales pace, it would take 3.7 months to exhaust inventory, up from 3.5 months a year ago.

  • The median existing home price rose 0.9% to $396,800, a record for January.
  • Median days on market increased to 46 from 41 a year ago.
  • First-time buyers accounted for 31% of sales, up slightly from last year but below the 40% considered healthy.
  • All-cash sales made up 27% of transactions, down from 29% a year ago.
  • Distressed sales (foreclosures and similar) made up 2% of transactions, down from 3% a year ago.
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